Should you rely on EPS for stock performance?

By | November 10, 2009

EPS denotes Earnings Per Share. It is a ratio that denotes the net profit or loss credited to the share holders for every share held. It is a widely used ratio that plays a vital role in valuation of the shares of the company. The term “earnings” used here denotes the part of the company’s income that rightfully belongs to the shareholders. It is obtained by subtracting preferential dividends and the taxes levied on them from the net profit and loss after taking into account special income and expenses incurred during the financial year.

EPS is one of the most common terms used in conjunction with stock selection. Many stock analysts focus a lot on this term, in order to recommend stocks for buying or selling. But what is EPS? Is it the right indicator for stock performance? Does it have any drawbacks? Here we try to shed some light on one of the most essential stock investment terms.

Definition of EPS: EPS denotes Earnings Per Share. It is a ratio that denotes the net profit or loss credited to the share holders for every share held. It is a widely used ratio that plays a vital role in valuation of the shares of the company.

The term “earnings” used here denotes the part of the company’s income that rightfully belongs to the shareholders. It is obtained by subtracting preferential dividends and the taxes levied on them from the net profit and loss after taking into account special income and expenses incurred during the financial year.

Also the number of shares issued in a year can change if a buyback or bonus or rights issue is offered by the company during the financial year under consideration. If that happens, to compute EPS, the weighted average of the issued shares is used. The weight of each share is considered in proportion for the financial period in which it has been issued.

Calculation of EPS: EPS can be calculated as

EPS =Profit After Tax / Total number of equity shares issued by the company in the financial year

Unreliability of EPS as measure of stock performance: Despite being an important ratio, EPS can be quite an unreliable indicator of stock performance. It does not take into account the opportunity cost of capital and is influenced by short-term activities.

E.g. A company has 10,000 issued shares and the shareholders’ earnings is Rs. 100,000. The EPS here is Rs. 10 (100,000/10,000). Now the company issues bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1. It means now the total shares issued goes to 20,000. The new EPS now becomes Rs. 5. So despite there being no change in the earnings of the company, the EPS has decreased. This makes EPS an unreliable factor in deciding the share performance.

Also if the company takes a loan to buyback shares, the shareholders have to bear responsibility of this debt. As the equity base is reduced, the earnings are affected. Also there is no connection between the EPS and the capital invested. E.g. two companies with equal EPS may not have the same level on invested capital. If the invested capital is higher, the returns earned are more.

Despite these drawbacks, EPS is one of the most important indicators of stock performance. However it is not a sole measure and should be used in conjunction with other factors. Also remember, this ratio is vulnerable to manipulation. So don’t buy or sell share simply on the basis of EPS.

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One thought on “Should you rely on EPS for stock performance?

  1. DJ

    Why does such articles have to be so cryptic? Couldn't they have simply said, the more the EPS better but its not always true.

    Reply

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